The Law of Truly Large Numbers

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. The point is that truly rare events, say events that occur only once in a million [as the mathematician Littlewood (1953) required for an event to be surprising] are bound to be plentiful in a population of 250 million people. If a coincidence occurs to one person in a million each day, then we expect 250 occurrences a day and close to 100,000 such occurrences a year.

Going from a year to a lifetime and from the population of the United States to that of the world (5 billion at this writing), we can be absolutely sure that we will see incredibly remarkable events. When such events occur, they are often noted and recorded. If they happen to us or someone we know, it is hard to escape that spooky feeling.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/methods-for-studying-coincidences/


31 March 2012

Who am I?

Chinese family in Honolulu, Hawaii in 1893.Chinese family in Honolulu, Hawaii in 1893. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)Official Major League Baseball - Close-up ShotOfficial Major League Baseball - Close-up Shot (Photo credit: Jason Michael)Mayor Newsom Joins the San Francisco Giants an...Mayor Newsom Joins the San Francisco Giants and up to a million of its Fans Celebrate the City's First World Series Win (Photo credit: mayorgavinnewsom)O'ahu - Honolulu - Chinatown: Nu'uanu StreamO'ahu - Honolulu - Chinatown: Nu'uanu Stream (Photo credit: wallyg)
  • He is of Hawaiian-Chinese-Portuguese-Spanish-Japanese-Norwegian-African-Filipino-American ancestry.



  • He is well known for wearing a puka shell necklace at all times on the playing field, in honor of his mother Deborah, who died of breast cancer in 2001 while he was still a minor league pitcher.



  • In August 2011, he won his first MLB game since 2005 in his first major league start since 2007.

  • Bats: Right, Throws: Right 
  • Height: 6' 3", Weight: 240 lb.
  • Born: December 4, 1981 in Honolulu, Hawaii, US (Age 30)
  • Drafted by the San Francisco Giants in the 1st round (39th) of the 1999 MLB June Amateur Draft.
  • Minor League Service Time (01/2012): 9 years

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