The Law of Truly Large Numbers

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. The point is that truly rare events, say events that occur only once in a million [as the mathematician Littlewood (1953) required for an event to be surprising] are bound to be plentiful in a population of 250 million people. If a coincidence occurs to one person in a million each day, then we expect 250 occurrences a day and close to 100,000 such occurrences a year.

Going from a year to a lifetime and from the population of the United States to that of the world (5 billion at this writing), we can be absolutely sure that we will see incredibly remarkable events. When such events occur, they are often noted and recorded. If they happen to us or someone we know, it is hard to escape that spooky feeling.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/methods-for-studying-coincidences/


10 March 2012

Mano A Mano

Albert PujolsImage via WikipediaEnglish: President Barack Obama awards the 201...Image via WikipediaAlbert Pujols - St. Louis - 2011 HomeAlbert Pujols - St. Louis - 2011 Home (Photo credit: BaseballBacks)Albert Pujols at bat, wearing a 1982 retro jer...Image via WikipediaPhoto by Rafael Amado©Image via WikipediaST LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 14: Jerry Hairston Jr....Image by Getty Images via @daylifeST LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 19: Albert Pujols #5 o...Image by Getty Images via @daylifeStan Musial - St. Louis - 1946 HomeStan Musial - St. Louis - 1946 Home (Photo credit: BaseballBacks)English: Stan Musial with the 2009 Major Leagu...Image via WikipediaST LOUIS, MO - OCTOBER 28: Albert Pujols #5 ...Image by Getty Images via @daylifeIconic statue of Stan Musial, who played 22 se...Image via WikipediaEnglish: Cropped picture of Stan Musial waving...Image via WikipediaEnglish: St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Famer as ...Image via WikipediaPHILADELPHIA - JUNE 15: Chris Coghlan #8 and...Image by Getty Images via @daylifeBASEBALL Player of the Week - May 9-15, 2011BASEBALL Player of the Week - May 9-15, 2011 (Photo credit: Big West Conference)Ty Cobb safe at third after making a triple, 8...Image via WikipediaStan Musial v. Albert Pujols
Best start to a career (first 11 seasons):

Pujols – .328/.420/.617/1.037 with 1291 runs, 15 triples, 455 doubles, 445 home runs, 1329 rbi, and an OPS+ of 170.
Musial – .347/.431/.584/1.015 with 1044 runs, 127 triples, 373 doubles, 206 home runs, 923 rbi, and an OPS+ of 172.

[6-4-3 Assist Pitchers Hit Eight Blog]
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