The Law of Truly Large Numbers

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. The point is that truly rare events, say events that occur only once in a million [as the mathematician Littlewood (1953) required for an event to be surprising] are bound to be plentiful in a population of 250 million people. If a coincidence occurs to one person in a million each day, then we expect 250 occurrences a day and close to 100,000 such occurrences a year.

Going from a year to a lifetime and from the population of the United States to that of the world (5 billion at this writing), we can be absolutely sure that we will see incredibly remarkable events. When such events occur, they are often noted and recorded. If they happen to us or someone we know, it is hard to escape that spooky feeling.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/methods-for-studying-coincidences/


30 November 2012

"I've cheated, or someone on my team has cheated, in almost every game I've been in."
-- Rogers Hornsby, Hall of Famer

"I didn't begin cheating until late in my career, when I needed something to help me survive …  I didn't cheat in 1963 when I won 24 games. Well, maybe a little."
-- Whitey Ford, Hall of Famer

"If you know how to cheat, start now."
-- Earl Weaver, Hall of Famer

"No, we don't cheat. And even if we did, I'd never tell you."
-- Tommy Lasorda, Hall of Famer

"Anything short of murder is OK."
-- Dick Williams, Hall of Famer

"[A player holding the base runner down] … I don't call that cheating. I call that heads-up baseball. Win any way you can as long as you can get away with it."
-- Leo Durocher, Hall of Famer

And so on.

Click here for Joe's interesting perspective 

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