108 DOUBLE STITCHES: Top 70 Fantasy Starting Pitching Planner For Week 16

The Law of Truly Large Numbers

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. The point is that truly rare events, say events that occur only once in a million [as the mathematician Littlewood (1953) required for an event to be surprising] are bound to be plentiful in a population of 250 million people. If a coincidence occurs to one person in a million each day, then we expect 250 occurrences a day and close to 100,000 such occurrences a year.
Going from a year to a lifetime and from the population of the United States to that of the world (5 billion at this writing), we can be absolutely sure that we will see incredibly remarkable events. When such events occur, they are often noted and recorded. If they happen to us or someone we know, it is hard to escape that spooky feeling.
http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/methods-for-studying-coincidences/

17 July 2011

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Al's Top 70 for Week 16
	Pitcher	Opponents
1.	Roy Halladay, Phillies	@CHC, SD
2.	Yovani Gallardo, Brewers	@ARI, @SF
3.	Ubaldo Jimenez, Rockies	ATL, @ARI
4.	Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers	@SF
5.	Tim Lincecum, Giants	LAD
6.	Cole Hamels, Phillies	SD
7.	Cliff Lee, Phillies	@CHC
8.	Felix Hernandez, Mariners	@BOS
9.	Justin Verlander, Tigers	OAK
10.	Brandon Beachy, Braves	@COL, @CIN
11.	James Shields, Rays	NYY
12.	Dan Haren, Angels	TEX
13.	Anibal Sanchez, Marlins	SD, NYM
14.	David Price, Rays	NYY
15.	Tommy Hanson, Braves	@COL
16.	Jered Weaver, Angels	TEX
17.	CC Sabathia, Yankees	@TB
18.	Ryan Vogelsong, Giants	LAD, MIL
19.	Michael Pineda, Mariners	@TOR, @BOS
20.	Josh Beckett, Red Sox	SEA
21.	Jaime Garcia, Cardinals	@PIT
22.	Alexi Ogando, Rangers	@LAA, TOR
23.	Francisco Liriano, Twins	CLE, DET
24.	Scott Baker, Twins	CLE, DET
25.	Chad Billingsley, Dodgers	@SF, WAS
26.	Madison Bumgarner, Giants	LAD
27.	Bartolo Colon, Yankees	@TB, OAK
28.	Tim Stauffer, Padres	@FLA, @PHI
29.	Randy Wolf, Brewers	@ARI, @SF
30.	Johnny Cueto, Reds	@PIT
31.	Shaun Marcum, Brewers	@SF
32.	Justin Masterson, Indians	@MIN
33.	Matt Cain, Giants	MIL
34.	Jeremy Hellickson, Rays	NYY, @KC
35.	Ricky Romero, Blue Jays	@TEX
36.	C.J. Wilson, Rangers	TOR
37.	A.J. Burnett, Yankees	@TB, OAK
38.	Ian Kennedy, D-Backs	MIL
39.	Tim Hudson, Braves	@COL
40.	Trevor Cahill, Athletics	@NYY
41.	Jhoulys Chacin, Rockies	ATL
42.	Wandy Rodriguez, Astros	@CHC
43.	Gio Gonzalez, Athletics	@NYY
44.	Jordan Zimmermann, Nationals	@HOU
45.	Daniel Hudson, D-Backs	COL
46.	Bud Norris, Astros	@CHC
47.	Jair Jurrjens, Braves	@CIN
48.	Chris Capuano, Mets	FLA, @FLA
49.	Matt Garza, Cubs	PHI
50.	Ryan Dempster, Cubs	PHI
51.	Zack Greinke, Brewers	@ARI
52.	Charlie Morton, Pirates	CIN, STL
53.	Philip Humber, White Sox	@CLE
54.	Mat Latos, Padres	@PHI
55.	Dillon Gee, Mets	STL, @FLA
56.	Kyle Lohse, Cardinals	@NYM, @PIT
57.	Carlos Carrasco, Indians	CHW
58.	Chris Carpenter, Cardinals	@PIT
59.	Josh Collmenter, D-Backs	MIL, COL
60.	Mike Leake, Reds	@PIT
61.	Hiroki Kuroda, Dodgers	WAS
62.	Colby Lewis, Rangers	@LAA
63.	Brandon Morrow, Blue Jays	SEA
64.	Ricky Nolasco, Marlins	SD
65.	Josh Tomlin, Indians	@MIN
66.	R.A. Dickey, Mets	STL
67.	Matt Harrison, Rangers	TOR
68.	Jonathon Niese, Mets	STL
69.	Gavin Floyd, White Sox	@CLE
70.	Ted Lilly, Dodgers	WAS