The Law of Truly Large Numbers

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. The point is that truly rare events, say events that occur only once in a million [as the mathematician Littlewood (1953) required for an event to be surprising] are bound to be plentiful in a population of 250 million people. If a coincidence occurs to one person in a million each day, then we expect 250 occurrences a day and close to 100,000 such occurrences a year.

Going from a year to a lifetime and from the population of the United States to that of the world (5 billion at this writing), we can be absolutely sure that we will see incredibly remarkable events. When such events occur, they are often noted and recorded. If they happen to us or someone we know, it is hard to escape that spooky feeling.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/2012/05/methods-for-studying-coincidences/


29 April 2011

BBTF's Newsblog Discussion :: SNY: Ferris: Why do fantasy sites waste your time?

Michael Barrett breaks his bat while swing at ...Image via Wikipedia
  •   Failing to watch the games. You can easily tell when an internet wag is using the box score alone to weave his story. He’ll miss out on intentional walks, cheap hits, defensive lapses that might not have shown up as errors, relevant info that’s not obvious (or even revealed) in the box. A fantasy player only cares about the numbers in the end, but the genesis of those numbers is very important.
BBTF's Newsblog Discussion :: SNY: Ferris: Why do fantasy sites waste your time?
Enhanced by Zemanta

No comments: